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2025 REG16 SIM Complete - Next SIM Friday 09/14

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  • #16
    Originally posted by Nutah View Post
    Wait, strick, shouldn't you be celebrating my loss? I would've thought everyone would be

    I AM!

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    • #17


      Float likeabutterflysting likeabee.

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      • #18
        What a final week. I think is pretty clear, if we want to be in the playoffs, is very likely that the only way is winning Camden. This year, unlike two seasons ago the tie-break is favorable to us, so if we win we will win the division, and Camden will take the wild card spot.

        But if we lose... the tie-break madness comes in. If Yuma wins we are out, if Boston wins we are out, and if Gainesville and/or Chicago wins, and Boston and Yuma loses, I think we are in cause we have won head-to-head against both of them.

        So we have to win no matter what, if we want to stay in the playoffs for first time since I took the Jaguars. If we lose I say there's a 90% chances that we are out.

        Originally posted by Ozias View Post
        Yuma is the other team here that can steal a wildcard spot from Camden as well, if Camden loses and Yuma wins, Yuma will be 9-6-1
        I think you're wrong in this case. If Camden loses they will have a 10-6 record, and Yuma's record will be 9-6-1 if they win, so Camden will have one more win than Yuma. Camden is the only team in the NC (obviously excluding the ones that have won their divisions) that will be in the playoffs no matter what happens, cause Morgantown is the only team in the wild card hunt that can reach the 10 wins.

        Oh and looking more closely, Morgantown will be also in the playoffs even if they lose. As you said, they will be in if we lose. But if we win and Morgantown loses they will have a 9-6-1 record, the only team that could match his record is Yuma. But Morgantown have the head-to-head favorable against Yuma, and with the same record Morgantown will be in and Yuma will be out.

        So, the only way that Yuma, Gainesville, Chicago or Boston can be in the playoffs, is if we lose our game. I guess I can expect a lot of vodoo things for next week
        Last edited by Edirash; 09-13-2012, 06:47 AM.
        Hartford Dragons

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        • #19
          Yeah, I believe I'm in no matter what. I'm considering resting my starters who were injured earlier in the year as they're out of end of the year award contention. Perhaps.

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          • #20
            I started doing playoff scenarios, but it made my head hurt. Here's some snippets.

            Phoenix is playing Utah for their division, and Camden is playing S. Maryland for theirs.

            AC North & South are decided, as are NC North, South, and West. Lake County can take the AC East with a win and a loss by Ohio Valley.

            WAS is #1 in the AC, unless we lose and UTA wins, then we're #2. LV is #1 in the NC.

            Morgantown is indeed locked in.

            Boston can still make it in, as they have the H2H tiebreaker over S. Maryland and conf. tiebreaker over Chicago. Looks like they need a win, and a loss by SMD and Yuma.

            Anchorage, Waco & Brooklyn are out.

            I'm not sure about Gainesville, but their only chance would be with a win, win by Boston, and loss by SMD and Yuma. Then it would be a matter of tiebreaker with Boston.

            Kalispel can get the #1 pick with a loss and a win by Charlotte.

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            • #21
              So we could end up anywhere from #1 seed to out of the playoffs? Dramatic finish this year!
              Float likeabutterflysting likeabee.

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              • #22
                AC is weak this year. We are the weakest link
                BLB- Seattle Reign

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                • #23
                  Originally posted by Edirash View Post

                  I think you're wrong in this case. If Camden loses they will have a 10-6 record, and Yuma's record will be 9-6-1 if they win, so Camden will have one more win than Yuma. Camden is the only team in the NC (obviously excluding the ones that have won their divisions) that will be in the playoffs no matter what happens, cause Morgantown is the only team in the wild card hunt that can reach the 10 wins.
                  Yep, I meant to say S. Maryland, not Camden

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                  • #24
                    Originally posted by Nutah View Post
                    So we could end up anywhere from #1 seed to out of the playoffs? Dramatic finish this year!


                    Wait wut? How do they end up in 1st? And if I win where do I end up?

                    Not that it matters, but i really could use a week off

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                    • #25
                      Originally posted by tomr1962 View Post
                      AC is weak this year. We are the weakest link


                      I prefer to think we're so tough we beat each other up. I mean hey we could have 3 teams make the playoffs from the accident west

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                      • #26
                        Going off what Jughead said, and I think it checks out, we could end up #1 if we win, and Washington loses. We should hold tiebreaker over OHV regardless but I never remember exactly how this works (I know we have the H2H there, though).

                        Not a lot of good records in the AC this year. In fact league-wide, a lot of new faces at the top, Columbus aside. NLB and Las Vegas having extremely good seasons (bravo to you guys!). Fair step down after that.

                        If you win, I'm not sure what seed you'd be but you would take the division and a playoff spot for sure. Since you'd also be 10-6, you probably have a good chance of taking one of the top 2 seeds with a victory.

                        In short, our matchup sends the winner to a probable first-round-bye, and the loser potentially out of the playoffs. High stakes. It's gonna be a tall order. Best of luck, and regardless, I hope you manage to find a way to reach the playoffs.
                        Float likeabutterflysting likeabee.

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                        • #27
                          From the opening game of this season to the last we have had to fight for every win and got a push with a tie. If we get in, it would be very fortunate for us. Hopefully we peak at the right time, or game over this season.
                          Denver Grizzlies owner since 2020
                          Franchise Record since: 3W-1L

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                          • #28
                            A good win, but a useless win nonetheless that only hurts our draft position.
                            OSFL - Anchorage Gladiators
                            2015, 2019 OSFL Champs
                            2006, 2015, 2019, 2021 AC Champs
                            2007-2008, 2012-2014, 2016-2017, 2019-2020 AC North Champs

                            13 Playoff Appearances


                            FOFL - Indiana Apocalypse

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                            • #29
                              Like Tebow, Zellner just wins football games.

                              Despite those 3 interceptions I may welcome him back as a 3rd string QB next year.

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                              • #30
                                the best i can do is #2 cause of my loss to Anchoridge and Utah would go to #1 with a win because of his conference record 9-3 and a sweep of denver.

                                also just figured out if lake county loses then all 3 ac west teams are in no matter what so Go maniacs!

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