Just Curious

[tomr1962]

My Scout believes that my DT Wally Turner is the best in the business. He has him rated 93/93. Was wondering what other teams scouts thought of him?

[Sully]

28/28

You should trade him to me for a late round draft pick.

[tomr1962]

lmao, I kinda figured a few people would do that.

[Sully]

;)

I have him at 92/92

[Guest]

There are two game mechanisms to understand here that aren't necessarily what you might expect.

Scout Error: This is where scouts--ALL scouts--miss on a player's true worth. A guy comes out of the draft at, say, 25/40, but he creeps to 63/63 by his fourth season. In those cases, he was *really* something like 35/63 when he was drafted. Scout error can be quite large, but it's always global. There's no scout that sees that guy anywhere near 35/63.

Scout Variance: Let's take our 25/40-->63/63 guy above. Scout variance is how different scouts see him. Every scout will see that guy as somewhere between roughly 22/37 and 28/43 when he comes out of the draft. Scout variance in this case is very small. When he gets to fully developed (63/63), the scout variance is even smaller in that typically every scout in the league will see him somewhere from 61/61 to 65/65.

The only known place where scout variance is significant is in interviews. The scout interview can vary greatly in that most scouts may see him as Very Underrated but yours might say he's Overrated, or vice versa.

So, in this case, the exact numbers may vary, but there's going to be universal agreement that Turner is the best in the league. For a sixth-year player, the range of that variance won't be more than maybe 4-5 points, and I'm guessing 90/90 to 93/93 is about it. (Mine has him at 91/91.)


So, when it comes to "gamesmanship," the one critical piece of information from your scout that you should never give away until after a player is drafted is the interview result, because scout variance is pretty much inconsequential everywhere else. *shurg*

[tomr1962]

Once again you the man skydog.

[Guest]

Once again you the man skydog.

Nah...I found my receipt for the original FOF1 purchase last weekend. I've been playing this game for 9 years. I ought to have learned *something* by then. ;)